Broken Man who cried wolf

Ok so, it's not working, I've tried the pc command to set the stage, not sure if i did it right, ive tried so many times, I've finished the bards effigie mission, the piece negotiations with the greybeards is done, I've been to wolf skull cave, and nothing... I think I ducked into the palace for the first time by accident and missed the big plea this guy is supposed to do, I've tried talking to Falk fire beird and nothing, I pickpocket the letter from him, and nothing... Varnus junius is just standing in the corner and has 0 dialogue options,

I have no mods

Please can anyone help me figure out how to become thane for the stupid house, so I can get the stupid pink rock

I'm begging 🙏