I'm saddened that Dune 2's Oscar campaign has fallen apart

I think it'll still get a Best Picture nomination and some technical ones, but it won't get anything for Denis Villeneuve despite very hard campaigning on his part, the writing or any of the actors. Zendaya tried a 2-for-1 campaign with Challengers, but she won't get anything either. Timothee Chalamet barely campaigned at all for Dune 2 and is focusing on A Complete Unknown instead. It missed out on SAG and DGA nominations and blanked at the Golden Globes. And even in the technical nominations, it isn't a clear favourite in any of the categories, with Wicked and other movies presenting formidable competition. It's frustrating as it's such a great movie, in front of and behind the camera, led with such strong vision by Villeneuve.

And if you're thinking the voters might hold out for Dune: Messiah in a Return of the King style epic closeout of the trilogy, I don't know. It doesn't have that kind of plot at all.