Post-SAG noms, Pre-CC Predictions

BEST PICTURE

WINNER: ANORA/WICKED/EMILIA PEREZ

It’s too close to call. Pulling out The Brutalist from leader to #4 seems insane but it missing SAG ensemble + Pearce missing Supporting Actor AND Bailey getting in… double homicide.

BEST DIRECTOR

WINNER: The Brutalist

No change here, but definitely weaker.

BEST ACTOR

WINNER: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

No change. But now we know the close runner-up is Chalamet.

BEST ACTRESS

WINNER: Demi Moore/Mikey Madison

Anora has a new path. But if Demi wins against Mikey at SAG, the race is over.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

WINNER: Kieran Culkin

I feel a sweep.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

WINNER: Zoe Saldana/Ariana Grande

The race is leaning to Saldana. Grande will win SAG. If she also wins CC, which she’s likely to, it’s a toss up. True 50/50.